Eredivisie · Matchweek 25
FC Twente
FCT
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Twente58%
Draw25%
AZ Alkmaar17%
Expected goals
1.71 – 0.85
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.8%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–011.1%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Twente will have the ball; AZ Alkmaar will not mind.
64%Possession56%
54%Territory47%
40%From set plays30%
0.14Chance quality0.15
3.8%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Twente, 3 for AZ Alkmaar. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Twente
AZ Alkmaar
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.