Eredivisie · Matchweek 25
Go Ahead Eagles
GOA
Excelsior
EXC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Go Ahead Eagles60%
Draw23%
Excelsior17%
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.89
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.6%
- 2–010.9%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Go Ahead Eagles will have the ball; Excelsior will not mind.
52%Possession42%
34%Territory32%
16%From set plays45%
0.09Chance quality0.14
6.2%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Go Ahead Eagles, 3 for Excelsior. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.