Eredivisie · Matchweek 25
PEC Zwolle
PEC
Willem II
WIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PEC Zwolle50%
Draw27%
Willem II23%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.01
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.5%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PEC Zwolle get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
38%Possession44%
35%Territory33%
39%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.18
6.1%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PEC Zwolle, 3 for Willem II. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.