Eredivisie · Matchweek 25
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Ajax
AJA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
ADO Den Haag23%
Draw27%
Ajax50%
Expected goals
1.01 – 1.55
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.5%
- 1–112.2%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–28.9%
- 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ajax get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
57%Possession52%
38%Territory39%
11%From set plays29%
0.07Chance quality0.13
7.6%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for ADO Den Haag, 3 for Ajax. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.