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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 25

FC Groningen

FCG

Telstar

TEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Groningen52%
Draw24%
Telstar24%

Expected goals

1.84 – 1.20

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 1–26.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Telstar get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession47%
37%Territory45%
17%From set plays34%
0.14Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness7.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Groningen, 3 for Telstar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.