Eredivisie · Matchweek 25
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
FC Utrecht
FCU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSV Eindhoven64%
Draw22%
FC Utrecht14%
Expected goals
1.95 – 0.83
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 2–011.8%
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 3–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession54%
51%Territory42%
39%From set plays30%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.5%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSV Eindhoven, 3 for FC Utrecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.