Eredivisie · Matchweek 24
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
FC Utrecht
FCU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fortuna Sittard31%
Draw31%
FC Utrecht39%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.21
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–112.7%
- 0–011.7%
- 1–010.9%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Utrecht will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.
33%Possession54%
28%Territory42%
39%From set plays30%
0.08Chance quality0.08
6.2%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fortuna Sittard, 3 for FC Utrecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.