Eredivisie · Matchweek 24
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen41%
Draw29%
AZ Alkmaar30%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.11
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–010.1%
- 0–19.8%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; AZ Alkmaar will not mind.
65%Possession56%
58%Territory47%
39%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.15
4.5%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for NEC Nijmegen, 3 for AZ Alkmaar. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AZ Alkmaar
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.