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Eredivisie · Matchweek 24

ADO Den Haag

ADO

FC Twente

FCT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

ADO Den Haag12%
Draw21%
FC Twente67%

Expected goals

0.73 – 1.97

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.8%
  • 0–213.0%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 1–19.5%
  • 0–38.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Twente get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

57%Possession64%
38%Territory54%
11%From set plays40%
0.07Chance quality0.14
7.6%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for ADO Den Haag, 3 for FC Twente. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.