Eredivisie · Matchweek 24
Excelsior
EXC
SC Heerenveen
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Excelsior17%
Draw24%
SC Heerenveen59%
Expected goals
0.93 – 1.83
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.2%
- 1–110.7%
- 0–210.5%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Excelsior get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession46%
32%Territory31%
45%From set plays7%
0.14Chance quality0.18
8.4%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Excelsior, 3 for SC Heerenveen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Excelsior
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.