Club Football Intelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 24

Sat, 27 Feb, 19:00 UTC

Sparta Rotterdam

SPA

19:00 UTC

PSV Eindhoven

PSV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sparta Rotterdam22%

Draw25%

PSV Eindhoven54%

Expected goals

1.08 – 1.78

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

1–111.1%
0–110.7%
1–29.8%
0–28.8%
0–06.5%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

PSV Eindhoven will have the ball; Sparta Rotterdam will not mind.

44%Possession56%

39%Territory51%

7%From set plays39%

0.19Chance quality0.10

6.4%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sparta Rotterdam, 3 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Sparta Rotterdam

Jens ToornstraMF2G 1A 1.46/90
Milan ZonneveldFW2G 0A 0.72/90
Isaac BabadiMF0G 1A 0.36/90

PSV Eindhoven

Sven MijnansMF2G 1A 2.03/90
Guus TilMF2G 1A 1.30/90
Ruben van BommelFW1G 0A 0.61/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.