Eredivisie · Matchweek 24
Telstar
TEL
Go Ahead Eagles
GOA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Telstar38%
Draw28%
Go Ahead Eagles34%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.30
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Telstar get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession52%
45%Territory34%
34%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.09
7.4%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Telstar, 3 for Go Ahead Eagles. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.