Eredivisie · Matchweek 23
PEC Zwolle
PEC
FC Groningen
FCG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PEC Zwolle31%
Draw28%
FC Groningen42%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.45
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Groningen will have the ball; PEC Zwolle will not mind.
38%Possession50%
35%Territory37%
39%From set plays17%
0.09Chance quality0.14
6.1%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PEC Zwolle, 3 for FC Groningen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.