Eredivisie · Matchweek 23
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AZ Alkmaar60%
Draw25%
Fortuna Sittard15%
Expected goals
1.68 – 0.74
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.5%
- 2–012.3%
- 1–110.9%
- 0–09.7%
- 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AZ Alkmaar will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.
56%Possession33%
47%Territory28%
30%From set plays39%
0.15Chance quality0.08
4.7%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AZ Alkmaar, 3 for Fortuna Sittard. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AZ Alkmaar
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.