Eredivisie · Matchweek 23
FC Twente
FCT
Excelsior
EXC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Twente84%
Draw11%
Excelsior4%
Expected goals
2.81 – 0.56
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
40%
Fair handicap
-2.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.9%
- 3–012.7%
- 1–010.1%
- 4–08.7%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Twente will have the ball; Excelsior will not mind.
64%Possession42%
54%Territory32%
40%From set plays45%
0.14Chance quality0.14
3.8%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Twente, 3 for Excelsior. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Twente
Excelsior
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.