Eredivisie · Matchweek 23
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen53%
Draw25%
Sparta Rotterdam22%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.05
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; Sparta Rotterdam will not mind.
65%Possession44%
58%Territory39%
39%From set plays7%
0.09Chance quality0.19
4.5%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for NEC Nijmegen, 3 for Sparta Rotterdam. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.