Eredivisie · Matchweek 23
FC Utrecht
FCU
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Utrecht51%
Draw27%
ADO Den Haag22%
Expected goals
1.52 – 0.94
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.5%
- 1–112.2%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–09.5%
- 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Utrecht get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession57%
42%Territory38%
30%From set plays11%
0.08Chance quality0.07
5.9%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Utrecht, 3 for ADO Den Haag. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.