Eredivisie · Matchweek 22
Go Ahead Eagles
GOA
PEC Zwolle
PEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Go Ahead Eagles47%
Draw28%
PEC Zwolle25%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.03
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.5%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Go Ahead Eagles will have the ball; PEC Zwolle will not mind.
52%Possession38%
34%Territory35%
16%From set plays37%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Go Ahead Eagles, 3 for PEC Zwolle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Go Ahead Eagles
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.