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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 22

Go Ahead Eagles

GOA

PEC Zwolle

PEC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Go Ahead Eagles60%
Draw23%
PEC Zwolle17%

Expected goals

1.94 – 0.98

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.1%
  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–010.1%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

52%Possession45%
39%Territory28%
21%From set plays24%
0.15Chance quality0.11
5.5%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Go Ahead Eagles, 3 for PEC Zwolle. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.