Eredivisie · Matchweek 22
FC Groningen
FCG
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Groningen34%
Draw27%
AZ Alkmaar38%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.42
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession56%
37%Territory47%
17%From set plays30%
0.14Chance quality0.15
6.8%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Groningen, 3 for AZ Alkmaar. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.