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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 22

Fortuna Sittard

FOR

ADO Den Haag

ADO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Fortuna Sittard46%
Draw29%
ADO Den Haag26%

Expected goals

1.39 – 0.99

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.2%
  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–010.4%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

ADO Den Haag get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

36%Possession43%
31%Territory36%
4%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.04
7.8%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fortuna Sittard, 3 for ADO Den Haag. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.