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Eredivisie · Matchweek 22

Fortuna Sittard

FOR

ADO Den Haag

ADO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Fortuna Sittard40%
Draw30%
ADO Den Haag29%

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.03

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.3%
  • 1–013.1%
  • 0–011.8%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

ADO Den Haag will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.

33%Possession57%
28%Territory38%
39%From set plays11%
0.08Chance quality0.08
6.2%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fortuna Sittard, 3 for ADO Den Haag. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.