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Eredivisie · Matchweek 22

Feyenoord

FEY

NEC Nijmegen

NEC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Feyenoord53%
Draw25%
NEC Nijmegen22%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.02

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.8%
  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–09.3%
  • 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; Feyenoord will not mind.

55%Possession65%
44%Territory58%
22%From set plays39%
0.16Chance quality0.09
5.7%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Feyenoord, 3 for NEC Nijmegen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.