Eredivisie · Matchweek 22
Feyenoord
FEY
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Feyenoord62%
Draw22%
NEC Nijmegen16%
Expected goals
1.94 – 0.91
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.8%
- 2–010.8%
- 1–110.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 3–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession61%
56%Territory42%
31%From set plays17%
0.11Chance quality0.14
3.4%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Feyenoord, 4 for NEC Nijmegen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.