Eredivisie · Matchweek 22
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
FC Twente
FCT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSV Eindhoven36%
Draw29%
FC Twente36%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.28
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession64%
51%Territory54%
39%From set plays40%
0.10Chance quality0.14
6.5%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSV Eindhoven, 3 for FC Twente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.