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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 22

Telstar

TEL

SC Heerenveen

SCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Telstar30%
Draw30%
SC Heerenveen40%

Expected goals

1.07 – 1.27

Over 2.5

41%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–112.5%
  • 0–011.0%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

SC Heerenveen will have the ball; Telstar will not mind.

40%Possession57%
35%Territory45%
33%From set plays24%
0.13Chance quality0.10
7.2%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Telstar, 3 for SC Heerenveen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.