Eredivisie · Matchweek 22
Telstar
TEL
SC Heerenveen
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Telstar28%
Draw27%
SC Heerenveen45%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.55
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–07.8%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Telstar get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession46%
45%Territory31%
34%From set plays7%
0.10Chance quality0.18
7.4%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Telstar, 3 for SC Heerenveen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.