Eredivisie · Matchweek 21
FC Utrecht
FCU
Excelsior
EXC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Utrecht60%
Draw23%
Excelsior16%
Expected goals
1.82 – 0.85
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.2%
- 2–011.3%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Utrecht will have the ball; Excelsior will not mind.
54%Possession42%
42%Territory32%
30%From set plays45%
0.08Chance quality0.14
5.9%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Utrecht, 3 for Excelsior. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Excelsior
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.