Eredivisie · Matchweek 21
Willem II
WIL
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Willem II11%
Draw18%
PSV Eindhoven70%
Expected goals
0.82 – 2.25
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.9%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–38.6%
- 1–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSV Eindhoven will have the ball; Willem II will not mind.
44%Possession56%
33%Territory51%
11%From set plays39%
0.18Chance quality0.10
8.2%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Willem II, 3 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.