Eredivisie · Matchweek 21
Willem II
WIL
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Willem II12%
Draw18%
PSV Eindhoven70%
Expected goals
0.94 – 2.40
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.4%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–19.0%
- 1–18.0%
- 0–37.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSV Eindhoven will have the ball; Willem II will not mind.
40%Possession63%
35%Territory54%
7%From set plays13%
0.13Chance quality0.15
5.5%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Willem II, 3 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.