Eredivisie · Matchweek 21
PEC Zwolle
PEC
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PEC Zwolle36%
Draw29%
Fortuna Sittard35%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.28
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–110.1%
- 0–09.0%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PEC Zwolle will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.
45%Possession36%
28%Territory31%
24%From set plays4%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PEC Zwolle, 3 for Fortuna Sittard. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.