Eredivisie · Matchweek 21
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
Feyenoord
FEY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AZ Alkmaar31%
Draw29%
Feyenoord41%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.35
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–09.4%
- 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Feyenoord get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
58%Possession56%
55%Territory56%
15%From set plays31%
0.11Chance quality0.11
4.2%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AZ Alkmaar, 3 for Feyenoord. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.