Eredivisie · Matchweek 21
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
Feyenoord
FEY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AZ Alkmaar31%
Draw28%
Feyenoord41%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.39
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–09.2%
- 0–08.8%
- 1–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession55%
47%Territory44%
30%From set plays22%
0.15Chance quality0.16
4.7%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AZ Alkmaar, 3 for Feyenoord. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AZ Alkmaar
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.