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Eredivisie · Matchweek 21

ADO Den Haag

ADO

Go Ahead Eagles

GOA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

ADO Den Haag26%
Draw28%
Go Ahead Eagles46%

Expected goals

1.07 – 1.49

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.4%
  • 0111.9%
  • 129.2%
  • 008.8%
  • 108.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Go Ahead Eagles will have the ball; ADO Den Haag will not mind.

43%Possession52%
36%Territory39%
22%From set plays21%
0.04Chance quality0.15
6.6%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for ADO Den Haag, 3 for Go Ahead Eagles. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.