Eredivisie · Matchweek 21
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Go Ahead Eagles
GOA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
ADO Den Haag32%
Draw29%
Go Ahead Eagles39%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.32
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–09.5%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession52%
38%Territory34%
11%From set plays16%
0.08Chance quality0.09
7.6%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for ADO Den Haag, 3 for Go Ahead Eagles. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.