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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 21

FC Groningen

FCG

NEC Nijmegen

NEC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Groningen39%
Draw27%
NEC Nijmegen34%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.33

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; FC Groningen will not mind.

51%Possession61%
45%Territory42%
13%From set plays17%
0.07Chance quality0.14
6.3%Directness3.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Groningen, 4 for NEC Nijmegen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.