Eredivisie · Matchweek 21
FC Groningen
FCG
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Groningen34%
Draw27%
NEC Nijmegen39%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.45
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.1%
- 1–28.5%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; FC Groningen will not mind.
50%Possession65%
37%Territory58%
17%From set plays39%
0.14Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Groningen, 3 for NEC Nijmegen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Groningen
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.