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Eredivisie · Matchweek 20

FC Twente

FCT

SC Heerenveen

SCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Twente61%
Draw23%
SC Heerenveen16%

Expected goals

1.88 – 0.88

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.5%
  • 2–011.1%
  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Twente will have the ball; SC Heerenveen will not mind.

64%Possession46%
54%Territory31%
40%From set plays7%
0.14Chance quality0.18
3.8%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Twente, 3 for SC Heerenveen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.