Eredivisie · Matchweek 20
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
FC Utrecht
FCU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AZ Alkmaar56%
Draw25%
FC Utrecht20%
Expected goals
1.76 – 0.98
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.9%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.8%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AZ Alkmaar will have the ball; FC Utrecht will not mind.
58%Possession43%
55%Territory32%
15%From set plays9%
0.11Chance quality0.22
4.2%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AZ Alkmaar, 3 for FC Utrecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.