Eredivisie · Matchweek 20
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Willem II
WIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen61%
Draw22%
Willem II17%
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.00
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.6%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–110.0%
- 2–010.0%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; Willem II will not mind.
61%Possession40%
42%Territory35%
17%From set plays7%
0.14Chance quality0.13
3.3%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for NEC Nijmegen, 4 for Willem II.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.