Eredivisie · Matchweek 20
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Willem II
WIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen70%
Draw19%
Willem II11%
Expected goals
2.18 – 0.79
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.2%
- 1–011.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.7%
- 3–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; Willem II will not mind.
65%Possession44%
58%Territory33%
39%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.18
4.5%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for NEC Nijmegen, 3 for Willem II. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.