Eredivisie · Matchweek 20
Ajax
AJA
Telstar
TEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ajax63%
Draw22%
Telstar15%
Expected goals
1.93 – 0.86
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.4%
- 2–011.3%
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ajax will have the ball; Telstar will not mind.
62%Possession40%
59%Territory35%
20%From set plays33%
0.13Chance quality0.13
3.6%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Ajax, 4 for Telstar.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Telstar
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.