Eredivisie · Matchweek 20
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSV Eindhoven74%
Draw17%
ADO Den Haag9%
Expected goals
2.28 – 0.70
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.3%
- 1–012.2%
- 3–09.8%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSV Eindhoven get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession57%
51%Territory38%
39%From set plays11%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.5%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSV Eindhoven, 3 for ADO Den Haag. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.