Eredivisie · Matchweek 20
Excelsior
EXC
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Excelsior32%
Draw30%
Fortuna Sittard37%
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.21
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–112.1%
- 0–011.2%
- 1–011.0%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Excelsior will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.
42%Possession33%
32%Territory28%
45%From set plays39%
0.14Chance quality0.08
8.4%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Excelsior, 3 for Fortuna Sittard. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Excelsior
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.