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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 19

Telstar

TEL

NEC Nijmegen

NEC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Telstar26%
Draw27%
NEC Nijmegen47%

Expected goals

1.12 – 1.53

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–111.3%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–08.1%
  • 1–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; Telstar will not mind.

47%Possession65%
45%Territory58%
34%From set plays39%
0.10Chance quality0.09
7.4%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Telstar, 3 for NEC Nijmegen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.