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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 19

Telstar

TEL

NEC Nijmegen

NEC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Telstar32%
Draw28%
NEC Nijmegen41%

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.42

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; Telstar will not mind.

40%Possession61%
35%Territory42%
33%From set plays17%
0.13Chance quality0.14
7.2%Directness3.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Telstar, 4 for NEC Nijmegen.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.