Eredivisie · Matchweek 19
SC Heerenveen
SCH
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
SC Heerenveen49%
Draw28%
Sparta Rotterdam24%
Expected goals
1.49 – 0.99
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.0%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–09.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
SC Heerenveen will have the ball; Sparta Rotterdam will not mind.
57%Possession45%
45%Territory37%
24%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.15
4.9%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for SC Heerenveen, 3 for Sparta Rotterdam. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.