Eredivisie · Matchweek 19
ADO Den Haag
ADO
PEC Zwolle
PEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
ADO Den Haag41%
Draw30%
PEC Zwolle30%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.08
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.3%
- 0–010.6%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession45%
36%Territory28%
22%From set plays24%
0.04Chance quality0.11
6.6%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for ADO Den Haag, 3 for PEC Zwolle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.