Eredivisie · Matchweek 19
Ajax
AJA
FC Groningen
FCG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ajax56%
Draw24%
FC Groningen20%
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.01
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.4%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.6%
- 0–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ajax will have the ball; FC Groningen will not mind.
62%Possession51%
59%Territory45%
20%From set plays13%
0.13Chance quality0.07
3.6%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Ajax, 3 for FC Groningen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.