Eredivisie · Matchweek 19
Excelsior
EXC
Feyenoord
FEY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Excelsior10%
Draw18%
Feyenoord72%
Expected goals
0.78 – 2.27
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–212.4%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–39.0%
- 1–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Feyenoord will have the ball; Excelsior will not mind.
42%Possession55%
32%Territory44%
45%From set plays22%
0.14Chance quality0.16
8.4%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Excelsior, 3 for Feyenoord. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Excelsior
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.