Eredivisie · Matchweek 19
Excelsior
EXC
Feyenoord
FEY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Excelsior21%
Draw27%
Feyenoord52%
Expected goals
0.89 – 1.52
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.1%
- 1–112.1%
- 0–010.0%
- 0–210.0%
- 1–29.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Feyenoord will have the ball; Excelsior will not mind.
43%Possession56%
40%Territory56%
30%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.11
8.2%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Excelsior, 3 for Feyenoord. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.