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Eredivisie · Matchweek 19

FC Utrecht

FCU

FC Twente

FCT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Utrecht18%
Draw25%
FC Twente58%

Expected goals

0.87 – 1.73

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.4%
  • 1–111.1%
  • 0–210.9%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Twente will have the ball; FC Utrecht will not mind.

54%Possession64%
42%Territory54%
30%From set plays40%
0.08Chance quality0.14
5.9%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Utrecht, 3 for FC Twente. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.