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Eredivisie · Matchweek 19

FC Utrecht

FCU

FC Twente

FCT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Utrecht23%
Draw28%
FC Twente49%

Expected goals

0.94 – 1.48

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0113.7%
  • 1112.4%
  • 0010.0%
  • 029.3%
  • 129.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Twente will have the ball; FC Utrecht will not mind.

43%Possession61%
32%Territory53%
9%From set plays20%
0.22Chance quality0.12
6.9%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Utrecht, 4 for FC Twente. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.