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Eredivisie · Matchweek 19

Fortuna Sittard

FOR

PSV Eindhoven

PSV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Fortuna Sittard15%
Draw24%
PSV Eindhoven61%

Expected goals

0.78 – 1.78

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–114.3%
  • 0–212.0%
  • 1–110.6%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

PSV Eindhoven will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.

33%Possession56%
28%Territory51%
39%From set plays39%
0.08Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fortuna Sittard, 3 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.