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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 19

Fortuna Sittard

FOR

PSV Eindhoven

PSV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Fortuna Sittard14%
Draw20%
PSV Eindhoven67%

Expected goals

0.97 – 2.23

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–210.3%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 1–18.8%
  • 1–37.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

PSV Eindhoven will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.

36%Possession63%
31%Territory54%
4%From set plays13%
0.09Chance quality0.15
7.8%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fortuna Sittard, 3 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.