Eredivisie · Matchweek 18
PEC Zwolle
PEC
FC Utrecht
FCU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PEC Zwolle28%
Draw28%
FC Utrecht44%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.48
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.4%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession43%
28%Territory32%
24%From set plays9%
0.11Chance quality0.22
5.0%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PEC Zwolle, 3 for FC Utrecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.