Eredivisie · Matchweek 18
PEC Zwolle
PEC
FC Utrecht
FCU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PEC Zwolle34%
Draw30%
FC Utrecht36%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.22
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–010.5%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Utrecht will have the ball; PEC Zwolle will not mind.
38%Possession54%
35%Territory42%
37%From set plays30%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.1%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PEC Zwolle, 3 for FC Utrecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.