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Eredivisie · Matchweek 18

Feyenoord

FEY

PSV Eindhoven

PSV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Feyenoord42%
Draw27%
PSV Eindhoven31%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.31

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 109.4%
  • 218.9%
  • 017.8%
  • 127.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Feyenoord get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

56%Possession63%
56%Territory54%
31%From set plays13%
0.11Chance quality0.15
3.4%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Feyenoord, 3 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.