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Eredivisie · Matchweek 18

Feyenoord

FEY

PSV Eindhoven

PSV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Feyenoord41%
Draw27%
PSV Eindhoven31%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.25

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

PSV Eindhoven get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

55%Possession56%
44%Territory51%
22%From set plays39%
0.16Chance quality0.10
5.7%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Feyenoord, 3 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.