Eredivisie · Matchweek 18
FC Groningen
FCG
Go Ahead Eagles
GOA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Groningen42%
Draw27%
Go Ahead Eagles31%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.27
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession52%
45%Territory39%
13%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.15
6.3%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Groningen, 3 for Go Ahead Eagles. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Groningen
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.