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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 18

FC Groningen

FCG

Go Ahead Eagles

GOA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Groningen47%
Draw26%
Go Ahead Eagles27%

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.23

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

50%Possession52%
37%Territory34%
17%From set plays16%
0.14Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Groningen, 3 for Go Ahead Eagles. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.