Eredivisie · Matchweek 18
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
SC Heerenveen
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AZ Alkmaar43%
Draw28%
SC Heerenveen29%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.12
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.7%
- 0–09.1%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AZ Alkmaar will have the ball; SC Heerenveen will not mind.
56%Possession46%
47%Territory31%
30%From set plays7%
0.15Chance quality0.18
4.7%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AZ Alkmaar, 3 for SC Heerenveen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AZ Alkmaar
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.