Eredivisie · Matchweek 18
FC Twente
FCT
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Twente68%
Draw21%
Fortuna Sittard11%
Expected goals
1.98 – 0.68
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.4%
- 2–013.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–19.3%
- 3–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Twente will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.
61%Possession36%
53%Territory31%
20%From set plays4%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.7%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Twente, 3 for Fortuna Sittard. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.