Eredivisie · Matchweek 18
FC Twente
FCT
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Twente76%
Draw17%
Fortuna Sittard7%
Expected goals
2.24 – 0.58
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
40%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–015.0%
- 1–013.9%
- 3–010.8%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Twente will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.
64%Possession33%
54%Territory28%
40%From set plays39%
0.14Chance quality0.08
3.8%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Twente, 3 for Fortuna Sittard. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Twente
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.