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Eredivisie · Matchweek 18

ADO Den Haag

ADO

Telstar

TEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

ADO Den Haag36%
Draw29%
Telstar35%

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.28

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

ADO Den Haag will have the ball; Telstar will not mind.

57%Possession47%
38%Territory45%
11%From set plays34%
0.08Chance quality0.10
7.6%Directness7.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for ADO Den Haag, 3 for Telstar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.