Eredivisie · Matchweek 18
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Telstar
TEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
ADO Den Haag32%
Draw31%
Telstar38%
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.19
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 0–112.5%
- 0–011.8%
- 1–011.2%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession40%
36%Territory35%
22%From set plays33%
0.04Chance quality0.13
6.6%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for ADO Den Haag, 4 for Telstar. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Telstar
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.