Eredivisie · Matchweek 17
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen61%
Draw23%
ADO Den Haag16%
Expected goals
1.86 – 0.87
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 2–011.2%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; ADO Den Haag will not mind.
61%Possession43%
42%Territory36%
17%From set plays22%
0.14Chance quality0.04
3.3%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for NEC Nijmegen, 3 for ADO Den Haag. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.