Eredivisie · Matchweek 17
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen62%
Draw23%
ADO Den Haag15%
Expected goals
1.85 – 0.81
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.5%
- 2–011.9%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
65%Possession57%
58%Territory38%
39%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for NEC Nijmegen, 3 for ADO Den Haag. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.