Eredivisie · Matchweek 17
Telstar
TEL
Willem II
WIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Telstar55%
Draw24%
Willem II21%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.07
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Telstar get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession44%
45%Territory33%
34%From set plays11%
0.10Chance quality0.18
7.4%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Telstar, 3 for Willem II. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.